Tuesday, September 26

Congressional Race Reporting 101

I was doing a bit of research on the John Gard race and found this quote:

Moreover, a new poll released Thursday showed only 25 percent of Americans approve of the way Congress is doing its job.

The New York Times/CBS News poll also found that Americans hold Republicans in unfavorable regard by a 52 to 41 percent margin. The poll had a margin of error of 3 percent.


Who cares what the national polls are doing! If national polls were 99% of Americans were dissatisfied with Democrats Madison would still vote Fred Risser in. They should have found a poll in the race. All others are just about moot.

2 Comments:

Ben Brothers said...

Who cares what the national polls are doing!

People pay attention to national polls, like "right direction/wrong track", and the generic Congressional ballot, because despite their inherent inaccuracies, there's a lot of data going back many, many years on the same questions, and that data is useful for looking at trends over time. I don't think anyone who is actually in charge of a candidate's electoral strategy pays attention to national polls at the expense of data within the district.

As for the contest in the Wisconsin 8th, the two most recent polls show Dr. Kagan leading Mr. Gard, 44%-41%, and and 48%-40%.

Jake said...

Polls only matter if they support you or your position!